Cambodia looks to ‘reset ties’ with US

[SternAAlbifrons]

breaking...
SMH today
Cambodia, China’s closest ally in south-east Asia, looks to ‘reset ties’ with US

Singapore: Cambodia has indicated a desire to shift out of the shadow of Chinese patronage and pursue a closer relationship with the United States amid a landmark visit to Phnom Penh by US Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman.

Increasingly viewed as a vassal of China in its pursuit of regional hegemony, there are signs emerging of discomfort from within the one-party south-east Asian nation about its over-dependence on the superpower.

The visit of Sherman, scheduled for Tuesday, coincided with a column from Cambodia’s state-owned news agency highlighted on social media by Prime Minister HE. It said it was “time for the US and Cambodia, in China’s shadow, to reset ties”.

At the same time, Cambodian Defence Minister Tea Banh defended Beijing’s financial backing for the upgrading of its naval base in Sihanoukville, slamming claims China would in return be given priority access to the key strategic port on the Gulf of Thailand.

Sherman is on a regional tour that has already taken in Indonesia and includes a stop in Thailand but it is the visit to Cambodia that is most noteworthy in the context of the geopolitical rivalry between the US and China.

“The fact that the US Deputy Secretary of State is visiting speaks volumes to Cambodia’s degree of discomfort at the position it has found itself in, in relation to China, its investments and China’s expectations arising from those investments in Cambodia,” said John Blaxland, professor of International Security and Intelligence Studies at the Australian National University.

“There are voices in the Cambodian government - they’re not very loud ones but they are reasonably influential - that are very uncomfortable with the degree to which Cambodia has become dependent on China.”

China has channelled billions into Cambodia in projects under its Belt and Road Initiative, most glaringly in coastal Sihanoukville, where dozens of casino developments for Chinese tourists shot up in recent years.

While there has been resentment at the influx of fly-in Chinese workers and the impact on Cambodian businesses, Phnom Penh has also been a beneficiary of China’s sponsorship during the pandemic. The country boasts the second-highest vaccination rate in south-east Asia, behind only Singapore. It uses Chinese Sinovac and Sinopharm vaccines for its population.

Even so, the noises being made about mending bridges with the US suggest Cambodia is seeking to find middle ground.

The issue for the US is how it can strengthen ties when it has been such a vocal critic of human rights abuses in Cambodia. The HE regime dissolved the main opposition party in the lead-up to the 2018 election and has placed nearly 150 party members on trial for treason and incitement.

Mu Sochua, vice-president of the banned Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP), on Tuesday questioned whether charges of treason would be withdrawn against CNRP president Kem Sokha, who was accused of colluding with the Americans in a plot to overthrow HE four years ago. Last year, the US ambassador to Cambodia, Patrick Murphy, labelled such alleged plots as “fabricated conspiracy theories”.

Blaxland, however, believes the Biden administration is playing a different tune to its predecessor.

“It’s not hammering HE at the moment over human rights or democracy issues. It’s just trying to engage,” Blaxland said.

He also suggested HM, the eldest son of HE, who has reportedly been groomed as his successor, as a potentially key figure in improving relations. A general in the Cambodian army, the 43-year-old is a graduate of US military academy West Point.

Another important factor is Cambodia taking over as chair of ASEAN next year. It was five years ago that Phnom Penh stood in the way of the regional bloc issuing a statement acknowledging an international court ruling that found China had no legal basis for its claim to most of the South China Sea.

China’s maritime ambitions have again been a hot topic this week. Beijing has helped pay for the redevelopment of Cambodia’s Ream Naval Base following the dismantling US-funded facilities there last year and the Washington-based Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative last week published satellite images of two buildings it said had been rapidly built ahead of Sherman’s visit.

The breakneck pace of construction at Ream, lack of transparency, and shifting explanations from Cambodian officials continue to fuel suspicions that the upgrades there are intended for China’s benefit as much as Cambodia’s,” AMTI reported.

Such a Chinese quid pro quo would be concerning to the US but Tea Banh, the defence minister, gave an interview with The Phnom Penh Post on the eve of Sherman’s arrival disputing that notion.

“It’s Cambodia who will use this [naval] base and it’s Cambodia who develops this land,” he said.

[ExPenhMan]

Very interesting development. Hopefully, it's not just for show from the Cambodian side and that they seek a real relationship with the US. Of course, it's always good policy to share interests between two superpowers.

However, I'm not sure how the US could operate in a small country with massive Chinese operations and influence. Then again, maybe HE and, certainly, the country's people are tired of becoming second-class citizens in their own nation. I don't know how the US could help but the Americans will be happy to make the Chinese uncomfortable, which the Khmers might enjoy.

But then, I've never been a good political analyst, not even a mediocre one. And proud of it.

[nemo]

USA can buy more stuff made by CCP companies here with a "made in cambodia" label to replace tariff sanctioned goods.
Exports to USA are up already.

[Biffsm]

If Cambodia can sucker millions of doses of vaccine and other aid from the idiots in the US..
More power to them.
Cambodia can keep its relationship with china and get the US to print some more money it doesn't have.

[Apollo91881]

USA can buy more stuff made by CCP companies here with a "made in cambodia" label to replace tariff sanctioned goods.
Exports to USA are up already.

True!! Best if they are US or Cambodian companies doing the export.
It is difficult given the quantity of raw materials not available in Cambodia requiring Chinese sourcing though.
China will always be somewhere in the supply chain until Cambodia or neighbors get more developed on their own.

[nemo]

If Cambodia can sucker millions of doses of vaccine and other aid from the idiots in the US..
More power to them.

The aid offered by China for c19 dwarfs the American contribution.
USA along with other countries made contributions of about 350k doses of AZ under the covax program globally, with no special attention to Cambodia.
USAID offered an additional 11m in assistance.
When you compare this with the daily contribution of $19 m to Israel, it seems pretty modest.

[nemo]

True!! Best if they are US or Cambodian companies doing the export.
It is difficult given the quantity of raw materials not available in Cambodia requiring Chinese sourcing though.
China will always be somewhere in the supply chain until Cambodia or neighbors get more developed on their own.

They will launder their embargoed cotton through here

[mouytiet]

Lost cause i think.why just keep updating luxury cars.

[nemo]

The USAID has done a lot of good here in ag development. A long running program to improve tropical pasture and introduce beef and dairy genetics has made it possible for companies like Kirisu able to operate a modern dairy here- a very desirable commodity and one which formerly was exported throughout the region in pre war years. Just one small example I have observed. Most foreign aid benefits businesses from the donor country, so it can be a very effective instrument of diplomacy.

[SternAAlbifrons]

I remember being physically exhausted, sitting in a steaming overloaded Camry one November afternoon back in 2010 on the way back from Phnom Tamao. Held up by Hilary's endless motorcade sweeping thru a back road to the airport on her way out after a two day visit.
To me that remains as an everlasting image and symbol of the "setting of the sun" of US influence here - at that time in history.

Welcome back.
Stick around.