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Tonight around 10:40pm it will travel over Cambodia in a SE -> NW direction.
https://orbit.ing-now.com/satellite/482 ... 35b/cz-5b/
If it hasn't crashed before that time frame.

How much of it do they expect to actually hit the ground?

I think it's about 21 tons and travelling at about 27 thousand Km/h so no need to worry ,
Heading your way at the moment



PS, If you see anything at 4.10 don't panic, it's just Musk's Starlink satellite

I'm not sure why they can't predict where it will land? It's not exactly rocket scien.... oh, wait...

It's coming down a bit quick now ,

160 km and falling

Gee, I hope it doesn't land in the middle of a densely populated Chinese city. That would be terrible.



</sarc>

With the majority of the earth's surface covered in water, chances are that it'll kill a fish before a person.

DaveG wrote: ↑Sat May 08, 2021 9:45 pm It's coming down a bit quick now ,

160 km and falling

Hasn’t it landed yet? How long does it take to travel 160km?

Predictions are getting more "accurate"
Should be within 2 or 3 hours from now on.
Traveling at +/- 8km/s, 1 minute is a stretch of 500km.
@violet It makes an elliptical orbit. Sometimes it even gains height.
I also was kinda surprised it takes that long, when posted it was at 280km height.
Gravity will do its magic the closer it gets to earth.
It will come apart, most parts will burn up and eventually crash into water.
Not all of their rockets ended up in sea.
2 years ago this happened.

techietraveller84 wrote: ↑Fri May 07, 2021 2:17 am How much of it do they expect to actually hit the ground?

The latest predictions are that a piece of it the size of a Volkswagen Beetle will strike the Earth.