New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
Big news from the Big Apple...
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo on Thursday offered what appeared to be a surprising statistic on just how broadly the outbreak of the coronavirus has hit the state: Almost 14 percent of people tested in a new study were found to have antibodies to the disease it causes.
It might be good news. The data suggest that the state's mortality rate could be lower than previously thought, albeit much higher than for seasonal influenza. But it's still too early to reach that conclusion — or any other extrapolations people might want to make about easing lockdowns, experts say.
"The New York study found that out of 3,000 grocery store customers who were randomly tested across the state, 13.9 percent were positive for coronavirus antibodies, indicating that they had an active infection or had been infected and recovered. In New York City, 21.2 percent of those tested were positive for antibodies, according to Cuomo, who presented the preliminary results of the state's study Thursday in a news briefing."
"If those infection rates are correct, it could mean that more than 2.7 million people in New York — and about 1.8 million people in New York City alone — have been infected, far more than the state's 257,216 confirmed cases."
https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science ... s-n1191106
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo on Thursday offered what appeared to be a surprising statistic on just how broadly the outbreak of the coronavirus has hit the state: Almost 14 percent of people tested in a new study were found to have antibodies to the disease it causes.
It might be good news. The data suggest that the state's mortality rate could be lower than previously thought, albeit much higher than for seasonal influenza. But it's still too early to reach that conclusion — or any other extrapolations people might want to make about easing lockdowns, experts say.
"The New York study found that out of 3,000 grocery store customers who were randomly tested across the state, 13.9 percent were positive for coronavirus antibodies, indicating that they had an active infection or had been infected and recovered. In New York City, 21.2 percent of those tested were positive for antibodies, according to Cuomo, who presented the preliminary results of the state's study Thursday in a news briefing."
"If those infection rates are correct, it could mean that more than 2.7 million people in New York — and about 1.8 million people in New York City alone — have been infected, far more than the state's 257,216 confirmed cases."
https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science ... s-n1191106
Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
Gee, does that mean that we fucked the world economy for a flu?
Naturam expelles furca, tamen usque recurret. Horace
Just because you are paranoid doesn't mean they arent out to get you. Pynchon
Just because you are paranoid doesn't mean they arent out to get you. Pynchon
Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
No, it means your reading comprehension skills are lacking.
" The data suggest that the state's mortality rate could be lower than previously thought, albeit much higher than for seasonal influenza"
It is also early days for these studies, the ones out of California have basic flaws.
"Experts demolish studies suggesting COVID-19 is no worse than flu
Authors of widely publicized antibody studies “owe us all an apology,” one expert says."
Full:https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/04 ... -than-flu/
up to you...
Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
Yes, they sure did.
The good news is humans have done even more stupid things in the history. The bad news is year 2020 has just started with common sense in short supply so expect more absurdity to come.
To the “mortality much higher than seasonal influenza” believers, again: 500 000 people die annually from flu and 1 500 000 die annually from tuberculosis. Someone has to be incredibly math challenged to say mortality from covid is much higher to justify not opening economy back immediately.
Ok, they thought it was a new bubonic plague at the beginning, they overreacted massively. Errare humanum est. But now it is clear to epidemiologists this virus ranks between flu and tuberculosis on the danger scale for old or sick people and sits near flu for younger healthier people.
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Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
You keep repeating that like it's some revelation. Millions of people die from other causes already so we shouldn't be bothered about a few more million dying from a new disease? Fantastic logic there.
Silence, exile, and cunning.
Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
A measured approach is suggested. You don’t go duck hunting with a SAM.John Bingham wrote: ↑Sat Apr 25, 2020 1:40 pmYou keep repeating that like it's some revelation. Millions of people die from other causes already so we shouldn't be bothered about a few more million dying from a new disease? Fantastic logic there.
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Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
Same in California. I hate to agree with Hunter8, but once all the numbers are tallied up in a few years time, I'm sure death ratios will be revealed to be much lower than anticipated and we'll realize that whole economies were messed up for nothing. Had countries spent a fraction of what they're spending now (medically/payouts/military etc) in simply isolating the elderly and those at risk, the world could have continued to run more or less as normal and we would have witnessed far fewer deaths. Hopefully we (governments) all learn from this, but time will tell.
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Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
And there lays the problem,,, it was not running as normal, it was running full speed out of control.Bitte_Kein_Lexus wrote: ↑Sat Apr 25, 2020 3:26 pm Same in California. I hate to agree with Hunter8, but once all the numbers are tallied up in a few years time, I'm sure death ratios will be revealed to be much lower than anticipated and we'll realize that whole economies were messed up for nothing. Had countries spent a fraction of what they're spending now (medically/payouts/military etc) in simply isolating the elderly and those at risk, the world could have continued to run more or less as normal and we would have witnessed far fewer deaths. Hopefully we (governments) all learn from this, but time will tell.
Cambodia,,,, Don't fall in love with her.
Like the spoilt child she is, she will not be happy till she destroys herself from within and breaks your heart.
Like the spoilt child she is, she will not be happy till she destroys herself from within and breaks your heart.
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Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
Can you elaborate? In my home country, the vast majority of deaths were in old people homes. Had they been properly isolated, the rest of us could have gotten immunized over a relatively short period of time and gone on with our lives. I'm not saying it's a simple thing to take care of, but it's obvious the majority of governments were slow in their responses (were totally unprepared and had no SOPs). Instead people have gone into total shutdown, which in the long-run will have extremely negative consequences as well.
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Re: New York's antibody Testing Show Widspread Prior Infection
It sort of seems impossible to debate the lockdowns or the virus in general without any deviation from either extreme being interpreted as a full blown endorsement of the opposite extreme. Sure it was more than “just the flu”. The lockdowns were an extreme over reaction however and will likely end up as the cause of death for a lot of people in addition to the economic impact. Wonder what sort of stupid public policy decision they will come up with to flatten the suicide curve.
The data is showing more and more that the real cause of the decrease in cases is herd immunity and not the lockdowns. This seems to point to a high likelihood that Cambodia had the virus sweep through a while back before anyone would have known what it was or could have raised an alarm about suspicious deaths. I’d guess late October and early November. Was there any sort of spike in flu related illness Or deaths last year? I can’t find anything on flu stats in Cambodia. Interestingly Dengue fever cases were 8 times higher than normal last year though.
The data is showing more and more that the real cause of the decrease in cases is herd immunity and not the lockdowns. This seems to point to a high likelihood that Cambodia had the virus sweep through a while back before anyone would have known what it was or could have raised an alarm about suspicious deaths. I’d guess late October and early November. Was there any sort of spike in flu related illness Or deaths last year? I can’t find anything on flu stats in Cambodia. Interestingly Dengue fever cases were 8 times higher than normal last year though.
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