Following the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Outbreak - News and Discussion

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chiaojiang
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by chiaojiang » Tue Feb 18, 2020 11:13 am

fazur wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 10:10 am
girl in a bar told me cambodia considering accepting another cruise ship. true?
True, and is not another, but many others. e.g. Costa Fortuna on Feb 16, World Dream on Feb 17 with crews from Hubei, and many more expected in the future.
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by Alex » Tue Feb 18, 2020 11:45 am

chiaojiang wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 11:13 am
fazur wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 10:10 am
girl in a bar told me cambodia considering accepting another cruise ship. true?
True, and is not another, but many others. e.g. Costa Fortuna on Feb 16, World Dream on Feb 17 with crews from Hubei, and many more expected in the future.
Happy days!
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by Jack.R. » Tue Feb 18, 2020 4:18 pm

I can confirm that at least some of the potential coronavirus cases from the westerdam are staying in sokha hotel.
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by DaveG » Tue Feb 18, 2020 8:15 pm

O dear,

"The fatality rate of 2.3 per cent, which makes it deadlier than the seasonal flu, which typically has a 0.1 per cent mortality rate"
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/worl ... 41736.html


https://www.theguardian.com/global-deve ... p-patients

Not looking good guys
:shock: :shock:
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Arget
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by Arget » Tue Feb 18, 2020 8:36 pm

HE quick trip to Singapore.............. check up perhaps???
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by Phnom Poon » Tue Feb 18, 2020 8:45 pm

Arget wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 8:36 pm
HE quick trip to Singapore.............. check up perhaps???
more likely to be a top-up

.

monstra mihi bona!
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by DaveG » Tue Feb 18, 2020 8:49 pm

Maybe someone on here can educate me.........

How does a virus like this one come to the end of it's life cycle, does it just fizzle out naturally or do humans build up some sort of resistance to it, it appears obvious to me that this is going to speed all over the world due the the nature of our times, global travel, incubation period etc.
Do we all eventually catch it and just deal with it while it kills just the sick and old or what ??????
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by paparazzi » Tue Feb 18, 2020 9:06 pm

Great question.

Because there is no 'herd immunity' to this new virus it must burn out. If there was previous exposure we would have 'fire breaks'.

But its a new virus so it has a field day unless a vaccine is developed in time to slow the spread.

Burnout would see around 66% of the worlds population infected l read. Now thats not deaths. Younger fair well. Older folk with high blood pressure and diabetis etc dont fair so well. Smokers and past smokers also seem to be at greater risk.

Shutdowns help. Vaccine would be a game changer. Otherwise wash your hands and stay away from crowds. Don't go on a cruise in Asia!!!

Get travel insurance!!!
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Phnom Poon
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by Phnom Poon » Tue Feb 18, 2020 9:22 pm

DaveG wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 8:49 pm
How does a virus like this one come to the end of it's life cycle
it either kills you or you kill it, in a couple of weeks
so it needs to spread to at least one other person in that time just to stay alive
any less and it will fizzle out

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monstra mihi bona!
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Re: Outbreak of Unidentified Coronavirus In China as New Year Approaches

Post by DaveG » Tue Feb 18, 2020 9:24 pm

Lol, WTF is 66 percent of 7.7 Billion. ????

According to my very unscientific calculations the death total would be about 92 million people based upon a death rate of 2.3 per cent, MMMmmmmmm.

I think we need a vaccine, HIV anti virals are being tested in Japan I think.
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