"Our global energy predicament"

This is where our community discusses almost anything! While we're mainly a Cambodia expat discussion forum and talk about expat life here, we debate about almost everything. Even if you're a tourist passing through Southeast Asia and want to connect with expatriates living and working in Cambodia, this is the first section of our site that you should check out. Our members start their own discussions or post links to other blogs and/or news articles they find interesting and want to chat about. So join in the fun and start new topics, or feel free to comment on anything our community members have already started! We also have some Khmer members here as well, but English is the main language used on CEO. You're welcome to have a look around, and if you decide you want to participate, you can become a part our international expat community by signing up for a free account.
grumpygit
Expatriate
Posts: 177
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2022 7:04 pm
Reputation: 100
Great Britain

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by grumpygit »

And if they really believe this nonsense they wouldn't be meeting up multiple times a year at there eco shindigs in 1500 private jets and spending big chunks of their backhanders on beach front properties.
Joe flies something like 50 gas guzzler vehicles into things like cop 20 whatever to tell us all we have to cut our carbon, they are laughing in our faces.
Please don't confuse my personality with my attitude. The former is me, the latter a reflection of you.
User avatar
Ghostwriter
Expatriate
Posts: 3151
Joined: Sat Feb 09, 2019 2:01 am
Reputation: 2026
France

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by Ghostwriter »

grumpygit wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:49 am And if they really believe this nonsense they wouldn't be meeting up multiple times a year at there eco shindigs in 1500 private jets and spending big chunks of their backhanders on beach front properties.
Joe flies something like 50 gas guzzler vehicles into things like cop 20 whatever to tell us all we have to cut our carbon, they are laughing in our faces.
I think you are confusing the guy from the interview, and all the "Joe", "theys" and the "private jets owners".

Personally i believe that each Cop serves only the purpose to decide when the next Cop will be, at best.
Its basically an assembly of tenants gathering without coordinated plans to fix everyone homes issues based on a unanimity decision failing to happen, so, no chance anything constructive happening soon from that side. Spin doctors and networks profiteers on an overpriced event ^^

Here's the guy appreciation of the useless Cop thingys


As for "there will always be oil" well ok, but if we passed the peak of production already, it is therefore on the declining side of a finite stock, so, if oil is so useful, how will the price be able to remain the same ?
Never heard of that for any other product.

Here in France, it's 2 euro per liter, the government doesn't want to reduce it's tax share of the price, but is now asking the supermarket fuel pumps to sell "at loss" , which is usually forbidden by law (you cannot sell cheaper than the price you paid for it).

Oh there will always be fuel / oil, just not at the same price at all. It will be needed elsewhere, for other priorities, such as production and production logistics.

That's my understanding of the situation.

As a personal view, i'm not attracted to electric vehicles, and i like my fuel engine, on a bike or on a car.
I despise that we depend on other countries for fuel though.
Not a big fan of this messy energy switch with various CO2 agendas to enforce more or less unrealistically depending of the state, avoiding to look at the side effects for the ones who pays the price, by money, labor, industrial disasters etc...
Not a specialist either.
User avatar
newkidontheblock
Expatriate
Posts: 4471
Joined: Tue May 20, 2014 3:51 am
Reputation: 1555

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by newkidontheblock »

40 % of estimated world oil reserves are locked in the artic… until now. Even China, claiming to be a near Artic country, has sent troops to claim their land (and oil).
jaclu
Expatriate
Posts: 111
Joined: Sun May 25, 2014 2:38 am
Reputation: 42
Pitcairn Island

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by jaclu »

Jerry Atrick wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:20 am And oil will NEVER be gone
Virtually no natural resource will ever go down to zero availability.

What happens is that eventually, the resource becomes so scarce and thus expensive, that there is not much demand for it. The last two petrol cars on the planet can continue to run on the final million barrels available more or less for eternity if production price is irrelevant.

And obviously, there isn't such a thing as the final million barrels. With increased tech a bit more can be extracted and so on.

But that is all theoretical. In practical terms, oil is only relevant if it is a price-competitive energy source.

Due to its horrific climate effects, hopefully, more and more countries will raise taxes on it to hasten its exit due to not being competitive instead of waiting for it to outprice itself due to scarcity.
User avatar
Jerry Atrick
Expatriate
Posts: 5454
Joined: Sat May 17, 2014 4:19 pm
Reputation: 3066
Central African Republic

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by Jerry Atrick »

jaclu wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 5:46 pm
Jerry Atrick wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:20 am And oil will NEVER be gone
Virtually no natural resource will ever go down to zero availability.

What happens is that eventually, the resource becomes so scarce and thus expensive, that there is not much demand for it. The last two petrol cars on the planet can continue to run on the final million barrels available more or less for eternity if production price is irrelevant.

And obviously, there isn't such a thing as the final million barrels. With increased tech a bit more can be extracted and so on.

But that is all theoretical. In practical terms, oil is only relevant if it is a price-competitive energy source.

Due to its horrific climate effects, hopefully, more and more countries will raise taxes on it to hasten its exit due to not being competitive instead of waiting for it to outprice itself due to scarcity.
All industries requires oil, grease, lubrication, fuel etc

Electric cars too - differential, fluid, brake fluid, bearing and axle grease, transmission oil, various specialized oils. Eliminating or drastically reducing ICE use isn't going make the oil industries go away at all

As long as heavy industry runs on coal and diesel and ships on heavy fuel oil it doesn't matter a spit what individual human units sacrifice or restrict access to/use of in the futile quest for "net zero" to reduce man-made emissions that is.

We are approaching the peak of the current solar cycle next year at some stage. Historically for thousands of years we have records of hot and cooler spells caused by the same sun cycles

Humanity is contributing to a tiny, tiny amount to the constantly ever-has-ever-will-be-changing-global-climate

I'm all for improving it by making the world nuclear powered, all electric - nuclear -nuclear powered cargo & cruise ships with modern reactors. The soviets did it very successfully with icebreakers using old, expensive and dangerous tech in the last century

Coal is still the main enemy. A reported 42%+ of global carbon dioxide emissions are coal fired, in reality the number is much higher. Your petrol or diesel car or truck is not the problem & on the metric that the green spastics use to measure shit an older car that is kept on the road is greener than any new car whether it be petrol or diesel. Coal is fucking filthy, china burned 3000 Million (3B tons of it last year out of 8000 Million (8B)tons burned globally. For contrast before the mines were closed UK mines produced 150m p/a
jaclu
Expatriate
Posts: 111
Joined: Sun May 25, 2014 2:38 am
Reputation: 42
Pitcairn Island

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by jaclu »

I didn't intend to argue in a naive Stop oil now! direction.

As Oil gets more expensive over time, more and more of it will be used for things where we have no practical alternatives yet, like lubrication, various liquid pressure systems, and whatnot.

Over time if it gets more and more expensive, that in itself will trigger more research to find alternatives.
Even if we continue to use oil for lubrication etc. for centuries, the environmental impact will be far less severe. So I guess such uses are not really a major concern for the environment and humanity on the same scale as burning it for heat or energy or using it to create disposable plastic.
jaclu
Expatriate
Posts: 111
Joined: Sun May 25, 2014 2:38 am
Reputation: 42
Pitcairn Island

Re:

Post by jaclu »

newkidontheblock wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 5:34 pm 40 % of estimated world oil reserves are locked in the artic… until now. Even China, claiming to be a near Artic country, has sent troops to claim their land (and oil).
Whenever oil reserves are estimated, it is with the assumption of harvesting for less than retail value. As prices have gone up, more and more extreme sources have become viable, like Fracking.

If the stable price would be $300 a barrel, a lot of currently unviable options would start to make sense.

For that reason, absolute numbers like that are certainly indicators of where it might be profitable to go next, but they say little about absolute remaining availability.
User avatar
orichá
Expatriate
Posts: 553
Joined: Wed Apr 22, 2020 10:59 am
Reputation: 282
Location: n/a
Canada

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by orichá »

I don't much care for YouTube pundits. They say whatever earns clicks. YouTube is just another form of illiteracy. Like Google Assistant, lol. Capitalism hopes -- and would prefer it -- if your kids forgot how to read and write. Easier to focus on selling them stuff that way.

Judging by the prevailing aging male sympathy for "economic realism" on this forum -- that (inadvertently?) complacent type of attitude is enough to spell doom for civilization all by itself...

So, we will still be debating the economy of oil as humanity becomes extinct, and the very few who survive in their automated hydroponic domes behind the high concrete wall in Greenland won't have much room to maneuver for the next several thousand years of toasted Earth and dead oceans... things will stay dead a long time before new species evolve again.

It is amusing to read guys write things like,
"who wants to mess with that lifestyle for something you don't see happening if you're not studying it."

Yeah, that's right. People don't see what's happening. Which is another reason why we are already finished as a species. . . I wonder if someone who just lost their home to a brush fire or a flood in Greece or Canada this summer, and now in Libya, would agree with you -- that they didn't see it happening ?

We are on the way out. We will still be saying wind and solar "don't cut it" as we burn up. We are just stupid. End of story . . .

Those who cling to the illusion that the economy will fail if we stop using oil don't understand the revolutions of history.

Anything is possible, but old habits seem more likely to kill us all...

Here, I see a big dearth of imagination. It is the bane of Western civilization just as copycatting the consumer idiom to achieve status is gonna kill Asia.

And, for an example about the lack of imagination is the poster in France who needs and prefers his combustion engines: he has obviously never run about on fast electric motorbike. Why do people have to experience things before they accept that they are already real?

Oil is the demon we cannot slay. So, goodbye.
~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~+~
“There are terrible difficulties in the notion of probability, but we may ignore them at present.” - Bertrand Russell
User avatar
Kammekor
Expatriate
Posts: 6456
Joined: Fri Sep 01, 2017 12:50 pm
Reputation: 2948
Cambodia

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by Kammekor »

Jerry Atrick wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:20 am
canucklhead wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:11 am One can anticipate all you want. Nothing will ever change until ALL the oil is gone!
And oil will NEVER be gone
That's not the point of this video. It states that our society is build on on the availability of a cheap, reliable, ever growing amount of available energy. If you take out any of those (cheap, reliable, growing), the way we currently live has to change and there's large crisis.
stevenjb
Expatriate
Posts: 312
Joined: Wed May 30, 2018 2:09 pm
Reputation: 64
Location: USA
United States of America

Re: "Our global energy predicament"

Post by stevenjb »

>Electric cars too - differential, fluid, brake fluid, bearing and axle grease, transmission oil, various specialized oils. Eliminating or drastically reducing ICE use isn't going make the oil industries go away at all<

As to Electric cars; no differential (electric motors power each wheel separately), no brake fluid (electric brakes and steering), no bearing grease (sealed bearings), transmission (there is none)
Post Reply Previous topicNext topic
  • Similar Topics
    Replies
    Views
    Last post

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cooldude, IraHayes, John Bingham, Kammekor, Majestic-12 [Bot], MSNbot Media, Richy9999Rich, Semrush [Bot], Spigzy and 722 guests