He's hanging on, by his fingernails.

The key is Sir Graham Brady who is chairman on the 1922 committee. If he calls a press conference in the next day or two, watch out; it's means he's got the magic number of 54 letters of no-confidence. If he keeps quiet for the next day or two the moment will have passed, for this week.

The letters to Sir Graham cannot be anonymous, so any MP knows they will have a black mark against them as long as Boris is PM. But a full no-confidence vote is anonymous and that is where it becomes much easier for an MP to vote their mind and not their prospects.

The report by Sue Gray, the senior civil servant investigating the whole party-gate business, will be the next hurdle to get over. It should be out next week. The civil service normally rally round a PM whenever possible. But to do so here might drag them into the integrity cesspit with Boris.

His excuses are so flimsy, so implausible and blame shifting that if the report holds him blameless it might cause more trouble as it will be seen as a blatant establishment whitewash. Sue Gray, and the other Civil Service mandarins, might calculate that it is better to tell the whole truth in unvarnished terms and savetheir reputation and throw him to the dogs.

Remember, Boris came in with Dominic Cummings with an agenda to shake up the Civil Service and, "called for a revolution in Whitehall and an end to the Kafka-esque influence of senior mandarins".* Cummings might be gone but that still leave one.

servivit in catino optime frigoris vindicta as Sir Humphrey might say...


* https://www.theguardian.com/politics/20 ... il-service

hanno wrote: ↑Fri Apr 22, 2022 8:03 am Whilst Boris is holding on for dear life, it isn't over yet:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/p ... 62115.html

I listened to the news yesterday and the political pundits were very confident that this would be a whipped vote and it would get blocked. However,

the government backed down from a bid to force its MPs to delay a vote on whether to hold a Commons inquiry into whether he misled parliament, which is now expected to go ahead.

Ahead of Thursday’s debate, Labour threatened to plaster the names of MPs who blocked the probe across election leaflets,

They must of calculated that it is better to lose a free vote than a whipped one with an 80 seat majority.

P.S.

If you think British politics is corrupt, check out these guys! Netflix must be eyeing them up for a new series.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ ... gs-charges