China's Military Has An Achilles' Heel : Low Troop Morale

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yong
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China's Military Has An Achilles' Heel : Low Troop Morale

Post by yong »

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/China- ... 9&si=44594

China's military has an Achilles' heel: Low troop morale
'One-child army' more inclined to add unmanned aircraft and ballistic missiles

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Visible military muscle like missiles and tanks is only one component of power. Troop morale is another. © AP
TETSURO KOSAKA, Nikkei senior staff writerSeptember 19, 2021 16:09 JST

TOKYO -- The Chinese Communist Party has unintentionally revealed weaknesses of the country's military.

One indication came with the building of facilities for launching new intercontinental ballistic missiles in an inland desert region. The other was a series of further attempts to increase childbirths, including measures to help reduce the costly burden of educating children. Behind these moves lurks evidence that the country is addressing concerns regarding troop morale and the military's ability to fight a sustained war.

For nearly a decade, China has been busy in the South China Sea, first building artificial islands, then deploying radar equipment and missiles to deter foreign military aircraft and vessels from approaching the area, and finally deploying strategic nuclear submarines capable of launching ballistic missiles in the now-protected sea.

Submarine-launched ballistic missiles, known as SLBMs, are the ultimate weapon. They allow nations to avoid being put in disadvantageous positions since the subs that carry them can remain in deep waters, keeping the enemy at bay, until the very end.

So why is China rushing to build new ICBM bases in inland desert areas? Experts believe the reason lies in the fact that although China has militarized some waters in the South China Sea and deployed SLBMs, it no longer has confidence it can defend the area should conflict arise.

In January 2018, a Chinese submarine humiliatingly revealed its lack of high-level performance. The submarine, traveling undersea in a contiguous zone of Japan's Senkaku Islands, in the East China Sea, was quickly detected by the Japanese Self-Defense Forces.

It was quick to surface and unhesitatingly raise the Chinese flag, which might as well have been a white flag of surrender; the crew presumably feared their vessel could be attacked with depth charges.

Under international law, the Maritime Self-Defense Force could have regarded the vessel as an "unidentified submarine" that had intruded into Japanese territorial waters while submerged.

Many Japanese and U.S. officials believe the incident symbolizes the low morale of Chinese troops.

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A Chinese submarine raises what might as well be a flag of surrender after being forced to surface near Japan's Senkaku Islands in January 2018. (Photo provided by the Ministry of Defense)

Chinese Communist Party governments have spent the past quarter-century increasing military spending and staging military parades and naval reviews. But visible might like missiles and tanks is only one component of military power. There are also invisible inputs, like troop morale.

The Chinese navy has been working on an aircraft carrier program, but a former Japanese Ministry of Defense official predicts Chinese aircraft carriers will not leave their military ports in conflicts out of fear they might be attacked and sunk.

Some believe that Chinese soldiers' low morale is attributable to the country's long-standing one-child policy, which has made the military one of the world's leading "one-child armies."

"Over 70% of Chinese soldiers are 'only children,' and the rest are the second or later children whose parents had to pay fines to bear them," said Kinichi Nishimura, a former Ground Self-Defense Force officer who for many years has analyzed East Asia's military balance at the Ministry of Defense's Defense Intelligence Headquarters and elsewhere.

The Confucianist view that children must respect and take good care of their parents and ancestors remains deep-rooted in China. As a result, parents are particularly reluctant to see their children die earlier than they do. Parents of one-child households must feel even more strongly about their only son or daughter becoming nothing more than a proverbial "nail."

In China, where people tend to have little respect for soldiers, there is a saying: "Good steel does not become nails," meaning respectable individuals do not become soldiers. In order to ensure it can secure sufficient numbers of troops, the party has been working to improve salaries and pensions.

On Aug. 1, the government enacted a law to protect the status, rights and interests of military personnel. This desperate effort to improve the patina of a military career might be a sign that the People's Liberation Army has not been able to turn around its recruitment efforts, especially in the face of the country's ebbing fertility rate.

"The Chinese military has increased the deployment of battleships and fighter planes since a few years ago," Nishimura said, "but their operating rates are not exactly high. It seems they are unable to sufficiently train enough soldiers to properly maintain and repair" the high-tech hardware.

This is partly why the Chinese military in recent years has come to rely more on unmanned aircraft and ballistic missiles. The number of ballistic missiles China deploys has increased to several thousand.

One of the PLA's military doctrines not widely known, says, "In the initial battle of war, launch a large number of missiles and then immediately leave the front line." This strategy was picked up from the former Soviet Union, whose military played the role of teacher while China was forming the PLA.

Over the past few years, the PLA has rushed to add more fighter jets, surface ships and submarines, which might indicate an intention to increase the number of missiles that can be launched when battles commence. Unmanned aircraft are thought to have the same purpose. This strategy will continue, especially when the military is not able to secure enough soldiers.

To protect themselves from Chinese missile attacks, Japan and other nations must start thinking about enhancing measures to mitigate damage. These measures include developing and deploying next-generation arms, including high-energy laser weapons and rail guns, which use electromagnetic force to launch projectiles at extremely high speeds. Japan already has a technological foundation to develop these weapons, though this capacity is not widely known in the country.
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Re: China's Military Has An Achilles' Heel : Low Troop Morale

Post by nemo »

A bunch of mama's boys and virgins?
They would be pissed off!
Maybe the one-child policy was designed for production of cannon fodder.
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Re: China's Military Has An Achilles' Heel : Low Troop Morale

Post by Freightdog »

nemo wrote: Mon Sep 20, 2021 4:44 pm A bunch of mama's boys and virgins?
They would be pissed off!
Maybe the one-child policy was designed for production of cannon fodder.
Didn’t Stalin’s lot successfully trial the concept of running away from ones own machine guns, and towards the enemy? Maybe the Chinese managing a remote war need only rely on a self destruct button accessible only by the high command in Peking?
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Re: China's Military Has An Achilles' Heel : Low Troop Morale

Post by Clutch Cargo »

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Have they all had Lasik eye surgery?

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Re: China's Military Has An Achilles' Heel : Low Troop Morale

Post by IraHayes »

The low troop morale being linked to the one child policy shouldn't come as a shock as "The Little Emperor Syndrome" has been touted for a while - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_emperor_syndrome

What is more interesting is the ability of the troops to use the tech they have developed to it's fullest potential.
China's military has seen incredible growth over the last decade but it would seem they haven't quite been able to "find the right staff" so-to-speak.

This is also not surprising given level of intelligence required to operate the stuff they use.
Thus, if your best and brightest are not becoming soldiers (Little Emperor Syndrome) then those who do enlist are not going to make the best use of the tech they are using.

Now, this thread reminded me of an article that discussed a program or something where they took 6 or so people from all walks of life and asked them all to put the group members in order of IQ from the highest to the lowest.
This was all done in person and each person introduced themselves and stated their academic achievements and what their current state of employment was.
One lady, who had a PhD in some irrelevant humanities was placed in the top 3 by not only herself but all the other members of the group.
The serving US soldier was placed last or in the bottom 2 or 3 (I forget exactly but I do recall thinking "they must all think he is just some dumb grunt as he was in the army" lol). Anyway, they all did an IQ test and the results were shown to the group. The soldier scored the highest of all.... the PhD lady was either last or 2nd to last (again I forget exactly but she was visibly pissed)

Then there's Taiwan.... and the whole Unified China thing and that the last 2 rebellions in China started in the south. Xi Jinping has no checks and balances in place that prevent him from making disastrous decisions and if he feels time is, indeed, running out he may act rashly.
Oh, and let's not forget Japan has now put into law that it can act in not just self-defense but also "collective self-defense" and given the historically friendly ties between Taiwan and Japan this may see them coming to Taiwan's aid against an old and very common enemy. (No notes needed on how China and Japan feel about each other, eh?)

Now, while one news article about Chinese troop morale isn't much on it's own. If we take a broader look at where things are going, ie all the above and the UK sending ships to the area, continued FON exercises by the US, multiple countries pushing for answers with the origins of COVID, hell even Evergrande (and other constructions companies operating along similar lines and being close to being in the same trouble as Evergrande) may all add up to one very poor decision by Xi Jinping. Thus, we may be closer to major shitshow sooner than we realize.
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Re: China's Military Has An Achilles' Heel : Low Troop Morale

Post by Tootsfriend »

The old saying of ''An army marches on it's stomach'', is still true even in this day and age. Feeding 1.4 billion mouths in peacetime is a big task and can only be done by importing food. To do that they have to export something. How do you feed 1.4 billion people while a war is going on, without upsetting the general population, then there is the army to feed who don't contribute anything to the economy or food supply.

That is the Achilles Heel for China.
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