Death toll was 170 yesterday. It is 171 today.


Also this looks promising; it is beginning to flatten. Fingers crossed.

29th January


30th January


https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps ... 7b48e9ecf6

Ur screen shot
Last Update: Jan 30, 2020 11 am EST.


actually it was announced on BBC this morning 213 dead, 8,70 infected

phuketrichard wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2020 9:21 am Ur screen shot
Last Update: Jan 30, 2020 11 am EST.


actually it was announced on BBC this morning 213 dead, 8,70 infected

Yes, it's a little outdated. I was surprised by the sudden arrest of the death rate given the level of infection. Now it seems it has been rising consistently. So too the infection rate, up another 1000.

I don't trust any of the numbers from China, but assuming the numbers are correct there are some strange trends.

No fatalities outside of China. With 112 cases outside of China and an average reported fatality rate of 2,07% (so far) you'd expect one or two outside of China as well.

Recoveries show a strange pattern too, for instance:
Hubei province: 4,903 cases, 90 recovered (1,8%)
New South Wales: 4 cases, 2 recovered (50%)
Thailand: 14 cases, 5 recovered (35,7%)
Yunnan: 70 cases, 0 recovered (0%)
Shanghai: 112 cases, 5 recovered (4,5%)

5,6% of all the recovered patients did recover outside of China, while only 1,4% of the confirmed cases are outside of China. Recovery rate outside China is 7,14%, inside China it's just 1,66%. Partial explanation might be healthcare in Hubei is massively overrun, but other major cities with less infected people show really low numbers of recovered people too.

based on the official numbers 'As of Jan 30, 2020 11 am EST'.

the symptoms not appear to include sneezing, runny nose, etc

fever, then dry cough, difficulty breathing
possibly death

Freightdog wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2020 12:43 pm Of all the cases resulting in death thus far, I gather that they are all Chinese patients who have expired in China. Or did I miss something?

I wonder if this is something that the Chinese are particularly vulnerable to, or does it say more about the Chinese medical services and how they treat patients?

I would put it down to bad karma and the year of the rat.

Duncan wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2020 1:23 pm

Freightdog wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2020 12:43 pm Of all the cases resulting in death thus far, I gather that they are all Chinese patients who have expired in China. Or did I miss something?

I wonder if this is something that the Chinese are particularly vulnerable to, or does it say more about the Chinese medical services and how they treat patients?

I would put it down to bad karma and the year of the rat.

Maybe only people born in the year of the rat are infected?