Martial law declaired in Thailand! NOT ITS a MILITARY COUP

sigmoid · Post by **sigmoid** » Tue May 20, 2014 11:19 pm

Where did they go? (besides here)

Most anywhere in the world that has a slightly more stable government or more mature form of democracy and a thriving economy.

There's no perfect place though, so it depends on the individual. The main point is that there are always options if you feel like moving. Plus, you can always move back.

Anyway, it looks like they've got through the first day so far with no major incidents.

If (or when) things go pear-shaped there, it's going to have a knock-on effect around the region.

Soi Dog · Post by **Soi Dog** » Wed May 21, 2014 6:03 am

If I was still living in Thailand, I would be praying for some bloodless chaos....just enough to weaken the Baht ( 50% or so would be nice).

vladimir · Post by **vladimir** » Wed May 21, 2014 6:50 am

sigmoid wrote:This is yet another reason why savvy expats left Thailand behind a long long time ago.

Really? I personally have never met ONE who cited political instability as the reason for leaving. It seldom affects expats directly.

For most it was the ridiculous visa/work permit rules.

Cowshed Cowboy · Post by **Cowshed Cowboy** » Wed May 21, 2014 7:45 am

A military presence on the streets of Bangkok and the rest of Thailand just goes on as per normal. Visa issues and the cost of living are probably the main factors for long termers to leave.

Bring Back Buck · Post by **Bring Back Buck** » Wed May 21, 2014 7:49 am

Is this going to affect anyone travelling through BKK and elswhere? I plan on travelling to BKK next week on my way to Northern Thailand. Should I be concerned?

phuketrichard · Post by **phuketrichard** » Wed May 21, 2014 8:50 am

living here for going on 30+ years i have seen governments come and go. Nothing changes. ( never knew anyone that left cause of the political instability ) BUT the current impasse is affecting business in BANGKOK, ( have a friend that has a jewelry shop in the gem trading center on Silom an the past few years have been shit)

This new move by the Army is to get their people in place. Its the reds and Thaksin and against some in the royal family ( everyone hates the prince) and upper military.

When he dies ( and we all know its not far far away) whomever is in power will have a better chance of getting thru thru chaos.

Down here in the south what happens in Bangkok is not relevant to our daily lives, tourist are here enjoying themselves and life goes on.

AS to travel thru Bangkok, just give yourself more time but usually these things do not affect the expressway and you will find you make better time as less people out on the road but you never know.

Hotdigr · Post by **Hotdigr** » Wed May 21, 2014 10:48 am

I've got a mate who recently moved down here after 8 years in Hat Yai. He's fairly savvy on the Thai political situation and is SPECULATING, that the reason for the timing of this is because either the King has just died and they haven't announced it yet, or he is on his death bed they expect him to die very soon. It sort of makes sense to me.

Milord · Post by **Milord** » Wed May 21, 2014 11:01 am

Quite a change from Britain, that when the Monarch gets close, they slip them a shot to speed up the succession.
Your friend may be right. And Richard's idea that the Army wants to occupy better positions.
I'll bet that a lot of horse trading is taking place.

phuketrichard · Post by **phuketrichard** » Wed May 21, 2014 11:36 am

this country can NOT keep a secret very well so the chance of him being dead or on his death bed are slim.,

Also when he does pass the government is in a shut down for 90 days and NOTHING can be done
Hence the reason they are jockeying for positions now

Interesting write up,

.......

The problem is that the monarch is 86 and ailing. He will die soon. But the royalty may not be discussed in Thailand under penalty of law. So no one talks about the pending death of the sovereign, and worse, no one permits themselves to even think about it. The coming succession is a national blind spot, a pathological omission, because without review, without sorting, dissection, debate, discussion, there is no emerging consensus, and there can be no popular opinion.

Meanwhile, Thaksin has a plan for the day the King dies, counting on the ascension of the Crown Prince to the throne. The Crown Prince is as reviled among the Thai people as the King, Rama IX, is beloved.

The Thai dread their next King. They call him â€œSia O,â€ a gangster name. Thaksin tried to suborn the Crown Prince by paying off his gambling debts, and by refurbishing his Nonthaburi Palace, but the gambit backfired. The Crown Prince moved to the Sukothai Palace, and he called Thaksin â€œan elected dictatorâ€ in a conversation with Ambassador Boyce that was immortalized in diplomatic cables published by WikiLeaks.

Thaksin has his eye on the prize: He covets the $35 billion dollar holdings of the Crown Property Bureau, and he envisions himself a president of a Thai republic that would nationalize royal assets. This would imply the demise of the Thai monarchy, at least figuratively, and it would seal Thaksinâ€™s final triumph over the royalists and generals that usurped him during the coup of 2006.

The demise of the Chakri dynasty is unthinkable for most Thai, but they dread their Crown Prince. Failing an unimaginable miracle, even more turmoil looms ahead for Thailand. Long live the King.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2 ... ssion.html
even though written in Feb

Milord · Post by **Milord** » Wed May 21, 2014 11:47 am

I believe that there have been "accidents" in the Palace before.

Martial law declaired in Thailand! NOT ITS a MILITARY COUP

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