Where is all the money coming from? Property market
Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
One difference though- in a western country you'd have to pay property tax, but do people here have to pay a property tax yet?
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From my very limited knowledge. Tax Authorities have been attempting to increase tax collections on properties being rented out/guesthouses - ie obvious commercial enterprises.
In the town we own a home authorities have been by to indicate that some sort of property tax is coming..... but exactly when and how much I don't know.
In the same town, a notice was given to a few people about a capital gains tax of 20% but it hardly explained anything nor indicated how it would be collected nor by whom. Locals (for the most part) don't understand that the 20% tax is on profit from the sale of land/house - and the authorities don't seem to understand it either - folks currently believe its a 20% tax on the total sale. My own guess is that they are still a year or two away from really doing this anywhere outside of larger cities.
My wife and I have had several discussions regarding buying real estate here, and it took her actually seeing what we could buy in the USA in comparison to Cambodia to begin to understand why I don't want to purchase anything here. She still doesn't really believe a property tax will be implemented here and she also believes that land will only increase in value. We've simply agreed to disagree.
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From my very limited knowledge. Tax Authorities have been attempting to increase tax collections on properties being rented out/guesthouses - ie obvious commercial enterprises.
In the town we own a home authorities have been by to indicate that some sort of property tax is coming..... but exactly when and how much I don't know.
In the same town, a notice was given to a few people about a capital gains tax of 20% but it hardly explained anything nor indicated how it would be collected nor by whom. Locals (for the most part) don't understand that the 20% tax is on profit from the sale of land/house - and the authorities don't seem to understand it either - folks currently believe its a 20% tax on the total sale. My own guess is that they are still a year or two away from really doing this anywhere outside of larger cities.
My wife and I have had several discussions regarding buying real estate here, and it took her actually seeing what we could buy in the USA in comparison to Cambodia to begin to understand why I don't want to purchase anything here. She still doesn't really believe a property tax will be implemented here and she also believes that land will only increase in value. We've simply agreed to disagree.
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
TWY wrote: ↑Fri Sep 18, 2020 10:07 pm One difference though- in a western country you'd have to pay property tax, but do people here have to pay a property tax yet?
-----------------------------
From my very limited knowledge. Tax Authorities have been attempting to increase tax collections on properties being rented out/guesthouses - ie obvious commercial enterprises.
In the town we own a home authorities have been by to indicate that some sort of property tax is coming..... but exactly when and how much I don't know.
In the same town, a notice was given to a few people about a capital gains tax of 20% but it hardly explained anything nor indicated how it would be collected nor by whom. Locals (for the most part) don't understand that the 20% tax is on profit from the sale of land/house - and the authorities don't seem to understand it either - folks currently believe its a 20% tax on the total sale. My own guess is that they are still a year or two away from really doing this anywhere outside of larger cities.
My wife and I have had several discussions regarding buying real estate here, and it took her actually seeing what we could buy in the USA in comparison to Cambodia to begin to understand why I don't want to purchase anything here. She still doesn't really believe a property tax will be implemented here and she also believes that land will only increase in value. We've simply agreed to disagree.
Exactly, and also mentioned by armchairlawyer, Cambodians believe that property will always increase in value. Although for the price of some of these things, I can't see where the vast majority of Cambodians would ever get the money. I.e. some kind of $300,000 flat- who will ever have the money for this (and hence the possibility to reap ever increasing return on investment)?
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
There is also the phenomenon here where property owners will not drop their price below boom time expectations, no matter what the market is doing at the time. Preferring to sit on unsold or empty properties rather than drop their price.
I suspect it is partly some kind of twisted ego thing - their self esteem has risen with the skyrocketing prices, and to accept a bit lower price means a big loss of face. Stepping down in the world.
I suspect it is partly some kind of twisted ego thing - their self esteem has risen with the skyrocketing prices, and to accept a bit lower price means a big loss of face. Stepping down in the world.
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
I'm no expert, but I'll give my 2c worth as from what I gather, I'm the only one to comment so far who's bought/sold property here. [EDIT] I see TWY commented
1-Don't try to apply western logic to the local market. Property prices in most of Asia are much higher per square meter than in many developed western countries (especially places like the US, Canada, Australia, where land is plentiful). Just the way it is. On top of that, for the longest time here property and tangible assets like gold were the only things one could invest in (besides a business, which obviously most did). Keep in mind, even now the CSX only has like 7 companies listed after 8 years of operation. For decades prices didn't really budge, but 15-20 years ago the smart ones saw that things would change and bought up. Now I reckon in the past 10+ years people have clued in and realized it was easy to make a quick buck through real estate. Obviously that snowballed and has driven prices up. Also, most property until very recently wasn't bought on credit, so it's easy for owners to just sit on it. Still, it doesn't take a genius to see that Cambodia is never going to remain the same as it is today. Look at Bangkok, looks at KL, look at Singapore. Yes, I know Phnom Penh isn't Singapore, but the country has nowhere to go but up, and the naysayers are the same who were talking about overpriced/expensive prices ten/five/two years ago.
2-The vast majority of shophouses in boreys don't cost 300k. Not sure where you got that price JB, it sounds very random. A very nice twin villa or something in one of the better ones would cost that (or more), but normal shophouses can be bought for 50-60k fairly easily on the outskirts of town (Russei Keo, Sensok, Stung Menchey etc). Still, in many cases you're looking at 80k+ and yes, construction quality is pretty shoddy. Doesn't take long to have leaks either from the roof or bathrooms because of improper installation, bad finishing pretty much everywhere, stairs with a 70 degree incline and so on.
3-Yes, there's a tax for rental (10%) properties, and a general tax for hard-titled land. It depends on where it's situated (PP, the countryside) and there are many factors that come into play (size of road, size of property, if the land is tended or not etc). In some fancy PP neighbourhood the yearly tax is probably significant, but in the countryside it could very well be nil. The new capital gains tax (20%) will be implemented starting next year.
4-I'm not saying any of this "makes sense". Yes, infrastructure is crappy (but way better than it used to be), yes, traffic is bad and yes, quality is pretty bad, but it's the way it is.
1-Don't try to apply western logic to the local market. Property prices in most of Asia are much higher per square meter than in many developed western countries (especially places like the US, Canada, Australia, where land is plentiful). Just the way it is. On top of that, for the longest time here property and tangible assets like gold were the only things one could invest in (besides a business, which obviously most did). Keep in mind, even now the CSX only has like 7 companies listed after 8 years of operation. For decades prices didn't really budge, but 15-20 years ago the smart ones saw that things would change and bought up. Now I reckon in the past 10+ years people have clued in and realized it was easy to make a quick buck through real estate. Obviously that snowballed and has driven prices up. Also, most property until very recently wasn't bought on credit, so it's easy for owners to just sit on it. Still, it doesn't take a genius to see that Cambodia is never going to remain the same as it is today. Look at Bangkok, looks at KL, look at Singapore. Yes, I know Phnom Penh isn't Singapore, but the country has nowhere to go but up, and the naysayers are the same who were talking about overpriced/expensive prices ten/five/two years ago.
2-The vast majority of shophouses in boreys don't cost 300k. Not sure where you got that price JB, it sounds very random. A very nice twin villa or something in one of the better ones would cost that (or more), but normal shophouses can be bought for 50-60k fairly easily on the outskirts of town (Russei Keo, Sensok, Stung Menchey etc). Still, in many cases you're looking at 80k+ and yes, construction quality is pretty shoddy. Doesn't take long to have leaks either from the roof or bathrooms because of improper installation, bad finishing pretty much everywhere, stairs with a 70 degree incline and so on.
3-Yes, there's a tax for rental (10%) properties, and a general tax for hard-titled land. It depends on where it's situated (PP, the countryside) and there are many factors that come into play (size of road, size of property, if the land is tended or not etc). In some fancy PP neighbourhood the yearly tax is probably significant, but in the countryside it could very well be nil. The new capital gains tax (20%) will be implemented starting next year.
4-I'm not saying any of this "makes sense". Yes, infrastructure is crappy (but way better than it used to be), yes, traffic is bad and yes, quality is pretty bad, but it's the way it is.
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
I think that has to do with the fact that most peoperty owners, certainly historically, owned outright. Since there are no ongoing expenses other than a nominal payment to EDC they are generally fine to wait for the right customer/time rather than drop the price for a quick sale. Contrast that to western markets where mortgage payments, monthly council or local government fees, etc mean that if you want to move it makes sense to sell first.SternAAlbifrons wrote: ↑Fri Sep 18, 2020 11:50 pm There is also the phenomenon here where property owners will not drop their price below boom time expectations, no matter what the market is doing at the time. Preferring to sit on unsold or empty properties rather than drop their price.
I suspect it is partly some kind of twisted ego thing - their self esteem has risen with the skyrocketing prices, and to accept a bit lower price means a big loss of face. Stepping down in the world.
Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
The vast majority of shophouses in upper class boreys cost more than 300k.2-The vast majority of shophouses in boreys don't cost 300k.
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
I wasn't talking about shophouses, these were bigger units but still terraced.Bitte_Kein_Lexus wrote: ↑Sat Sep 19, 2020 6:10 pm 2-The vast majority of shophouses in boreys don't cost 300k. Not sure where you got that price JB, it sounds very random.
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
Very good comment.Bitte_Kein_Lexus wrote: ↑Sat Sep 19, 2020 6:10 pm I'm no expert, but I'll give my 2c worth as from what I gather, I'm the only one to comment so far who's bought/sold property here. [EDIT] I see TWY commented
1-Don't try to apply western logic to the local market. Property prices in most of Asia are much higher per square meter than in many developed western countries (especially places like the US, Canada, Australia, where land is plentiful). Just the way it is. On top of that, for the longest time here property and tangible assets like gold were the only things one could invest in (besides a business, which obviously most did). Keep in mind, even now the CSX only has like 7 companies listed after 8 years of operation. For decades prices didn't really budge, but 15-20 years ago the smart ones saw that things would change and bought up. Now I reckon in the past 10+ years people have clued in and realized it was easy to make a quick buck through real estate. Obviously that snowballed and has driven prices up. Also, most property until very recently wasn't bought on credit, so it's easy for owners to just sit on it. Still, it doesn't take a genius to see that Cambodia is never going to remain the same as it is today. Look at Bangkok, looks at KL, look at Singapore. Yes, I know Phnom Penh isn't Singapore, but the country has nowhere to go but up, and the naysayers are the same who were talking about overpriced/expensive prices ten/five/two years ago.
2-The vast majority of shophouses in boreys don't cost 300k. Not sure where you got that price JB, it sounds very random. A very nice twin villa or something in one of the better ones would cost that (or more), but normal shophouses can be bought for 50-60k fairly easily on the outskirts of town (Russei Keo, Sensok, Stung Menchey etc). Still, in many cases you're looking at 80k+ and yes, construction quality is pretty shoddy. Doesn't take long to have leaks either from the roof or bathrooms because of improper installation, bad finishing pretty much everywhere, stairs with a 70 degree incline and so on.
3-Yes, there's a tax for rental (10%) properties, and a general tax for hard-titled land. It depends on where it's situated (PP, the countryside) and there are many factors that come into play (size of road, size of property, if the land is tended or not etc). In some fancy PP neighbourhood the yearly tax is probably significant, but in the countryside it could very well be nil. The new capital gains tax (20%) will be implemented starting next year.
4-I'm not saying any of this "makes sense". Yes, infrastructure is crappy (but way better than it used to be), yes, traffic is bad and yes, quality is pretty bad, but it's the way it is.
I don't believe there is much logic in property prices in the West either. People there also don't like to sell at a loss. Regardless, if interest rates ever go back up to 5+% there will be a massive crash in the West. The governments will not want that because they won't be able to service their debts at those rates but it may happen that the bond markets take matters out of their hands.
In Cambodia like-for-like prices are much cheaper than in the West (compare a PP house price with that in NYC or Sydney) and that is due to the fact that borrowing costs are so high and because foreigners are not allowed to buy (except for condos). You can still buy nice land here under $1 psm.
As for the 'Cambodia won't stay the same never-ending growth' narrative, that is on hold until Covid resolves. It simply doesn't work with negative economic growth.
IMHO, there is good value in some parts of the Cambodian real estate market and poor value in other parts. I agree there is a solid foundation (maybe not literally!) for the prices of reasonably priced borey houses.
If global interest rates do rise sharply, Cambodia prices will hold up a lot better than in the West because there are no cheap rates to start with.
It's mainly in the condo market where there could be a perfect storm.
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
Interest rates in the West are not going to go up, maybe one day but no time soon, the value of the currencies will be sacrificed via inflation. With that in mind, land in cambodia could be a good investment.
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Re: Where is all the money coming from? Property market
Agree with many of your points in #1, that was some of my own analysis. However, I depart with you at the end- i.e. some of the prices in Phnom Penh are so over-inflated that it's hard to imagine it going up. I would guess that prices in Bangkok are lower actually compared to this. If it does keep going up, I would say that it should have an inhibiting effect on the economy. Or, if it is true in the provincial towns as one person commented, I would predict that it will lead to development that is more spread out, horizontally. Central areas of provincial towns will remain undeveloped as it just doesn't make sense to buy property at the inflated prices.Bitte_Kein_Lexus wrote: ↑Sat Sep 19, 2020 6:10 pm I'm no expert, but I'll give my 2c worth as from what I gather, I'm the only one to comment so far who's bought/sold property here. [EDIT] I see TWY commented
1-Don't try to apply western logic to the local market. Property prices in most of Asia are much higher per square meter than in many developed western countries (especially places like the US, Canada, Australia, where land is plentiful). Just the way it is. On top of that, for the longest time here property and tangible assets like gold were the only things one could invest in (besides a business, which obviously most did). Keep in mind, even now the CSX only has like 7 companies listed after 8 years of operation. For decades prices didn't really budge, but 15-20 years ago the smart ones saw that things would change and bought up. Now I reckon in the past 10+ years people have clued in and realized it was easy to make a quick buck through real estate. Obviously that snowballed and has driven prices up. Also, most property until very recently wasn't bought on credit, so it's easy for owners to just sit on it. Still, it doesn't take a genius to see that Cambodia is never going to remain the same as it is today. Look at Bangkok, looks at KL, look at Singapore. Yes, I know Phnom Penh isn't Singapore, but the country has nowhere to go but up, and the naysayers are the same who were talking about overpriced/expensive prices ten/five/two years ago.
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